Monday, May 02, 2005
Another few wards
Hillfields
Another safe Labour seat. It's currently held by the invisible Noreen Daniels. To be honest I know nothing about her and care even less.
A vaguely interesting fact is that Graham Davey is the Green candidate. He's the awful Val's old man. He has no chance of winning though.
Blogonian Prediction: Labour Hold
Horfield
A Labour-Tory marginal currently held by Labour's Rosalie Walker. Last time round in 2002 the Tories won this with virtually 50% of the vote. Walker won on the back of a general election in 2001 with 40% of the vote to the Tories' 33%. Walker is unlikely to do as well from the general election this time and the Tories should squeeze in.
Blogonian Prediction: Con Gain
Kingsweston
Should be an ultra-safe Labour seat. This is the stomping ground of former docker and Trotskyist John Bees, touted to take the Labour leadership next weekend. Judith Price currently holds the other seat for Labour, which is up for grabs this time.
The Lib Dems are beginning to perform well here but they're unlikely to take the seat this time, although Bees could have the mother of all battles to hold on to his seat next year.
Also running as an Independent is former old Labour councillor, Terry Thomas. He's unlikely to win but could pull a significant personal vote and attract a lot of disaffected Labour supporters. It looks like the pressure is on for Labour in this seat.
Blogonian Prediction: Lab Hold
Another safe Labour seat. It's currently held by the invisible Noreen Daniels. To be honest I know nothing about her and care even less.
A vaguely interesting fact is that Graham Davey is the Green candidate. He's the awful Val's old man. He has no chance of winning though.
Blogonian Prediction: Labour Hold
Horfield
A Labour-Tory marginal currently held by Labour's Rosalie Walker. Last time round in 2002 the Tories won this with virtually 50% of the vote. Walker won on the back of a general election in 2001 with 40% of the vote to the Tories' 33%. Walker is unlikely to do as well from the general election this time and the Tories should squeeze in.
Blogonian Prediction: Con Gain
Kingsweston
Should be an ultra-safe Labour seat. This is the stomping ground of former docker and Trotskyist John Bees, touted to take the Labour leadership next weekend. Judith Price currently holds the other seat for Labour, which is up for grabs this time.
The Lib Dems are beginning to perform well here but they're unlikely to take the seat this time, although Bees could have the mother of all battles to hold on to his seat next year.
Also running as an Independent is former old Labour councillor, Terry Thomas. He's unlikely to win but could pull a significant personal vote and attract a lot of disaffected Labour supporters. It looks like the pressure is on for Labour in this seat.
Blogonian Prediction: Lab Hold